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But the first 8 weeks saw the linemaker catching up, with scoring then The final weeks of the season after week 8, the average final total was 49 vs. I can tell you most of the damage to me re totals occurred during the first weeks of the season, when scoring was higher and linemakers were way off. Why was scoring so much higher during the season?
Based on my analysis and others like Five-Thirty-Eight , the primary factor was the refs. Namely they were calling MUCH fewer penalties, which allowed for higher scoring games. I looked at how many teams in at any point in time were averaging less than 6 penalties a game.
I confined it to just underdogs I also did using just faves, basically same result. Now that regular season is over, how many underdogs were there during who were averaging fewer than 6 penalties called on them in a game? Answer: And here's how many there were in prior seasons:. That averages to 35 times.
Clearly in the refs were not calling nearly the number of penalties as in prior seasons. As with the linemakers, perhaps the refs caught on to this trend or was told by NFL, since they gradually started calling more penalties. Considering teams were averaging fewer than 6 penalties per game in , during the first 8 weeks that number was 50 and the remaining 8 weeks it was 81, so you can see the refs started calling more penalties in the 2nd half of season. Nonetheless, the damage was already done to totals players Will this trend continue next season, meaning refs calling fewer penalties and I need to adjust my methods?
Or is it a one-time aberration? Who knows. With all the craziness that went down last week, there are still 3 games to play in Week With just 4 weeks remaining in the regular season, most of the games take on extra meaning, as the battle for playoffs spots is set to slip into high gear.
For the purposes of this piece, we are going to focus on ATS picks for the week, but we will have selections of all kinds coming your way throughout the week. That said, let jump right into action so you can place your bets against their NFL odds. Oddsmakers project a tight game when the Buffalo Bills take on the San Francisco 49ers as just 2. Oddsmakers give the Baltimore Ravens a good chance to break their three-game losing streak, as they are favored by 9.
Teams are making their final push for a playoff spot, and a loss could end any hope of making the playoff field. As of now, just two teams are out of playoff contention, so that means that we have 30 teams that have hopes of a postseason berth.
Keep reading for the list as well as rookie of the year predictions for the NFL Season. My criteria is simple. The Saints are the Mybookie betting favorites to win the conference title for the second time in franchise history. The Philadelphia Eagles have a projected difficult battle to end their three-game losing streak as they are 9. The Pittsburgh Steelers take a game winning streak into a matchup against the Baltimore Ravens on Wednesday, December 2, at Heinz Field.
Pittsburgh is a 5. By the time Tuesday rolls around, we are usually done with the previous week and looking ahead at the games to come. Things are a little different this week, as we still have one more game to come from the Week 12 schedule. Even with that one still to come, we are able to look ahead to Week 13 of the season and the games that are on the schedule, at least for now.